Uncertainty Quantification Training Course
19th - 21st March 2018
Hartree Centre STFC Laboratory Sci-Tech Daresbury, Warrington UK
In collaboration with the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty (UK) and Institut für Risiko und Zuverlässigkeit (Germany), we are offering a 3-day training course on Uncertainty Quantification using COSSAN Software.
Structure of the training programme
Each day focuses on a specific topic. This allows the participants to attend a specific training day.
Aims and Learning outcomes
You will learn the main techniques available for dealing with Risk Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification through an easy to use, yet powerful computational software.
Main Concepts and techniques
- Random Variables and Random Variables Sets
- Monte Carlo simulation and advanced simulation techniques (Subset simulation, Line Sampling, Importance Sampling, Latin Hypercube Sampling)
- Global and Local Sensitivity analysis
- Global optimization techniques
- Surrogate Models (Artificial Neural Networks, Response surface, Kriging)
- Reliability based and robust design
Details:
| Location: | STFC, Hartree Centre, Sci-Tech Daresbury, Keckwick Lane, Warrington, Warrington WA4 4DA, United Kingdom. Free transportation from and to the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty will be provided. |
|---|---|
| Registration: | Registration is now closed Fees: Students £90; Academics £120; Industrial attendee £250 Includes: Lunch and Tea/Coffee Breaks for 3 days and transportation from and to Liverpool |
Tentative Programme
Day 1: 19th March 2018
| Time | Activity Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Registration | Registration and Welcome |
| 09:30 | Lecture | Introduction to the Cossan software |
| 10:00 | Lecture | Introduction to uncertainty quantification and modelling of uncertainties |
| 10:30 | Practical session | Install the software |
| 10:45 | Tutorial | Getting started and familiarisation with the software (Part I) . Define a stochastic model. Example of a Cantilever Beam | 11:50 | Lunch break | Food, food, food, and relax |
| 13:00 | Tutorial | Basic Monte Carlo method simulation for Uncertainty Quantification and Reliability Analysis |
| 13:30 | Exercise | Buffon experiment |
| 15:00 | Coffee and Tea | Only a short break... |
| 15:15 | Tutorial | Introduction OpenCossan |
| 15:30 | Exercise | Buffon experiment in OpenCossan |
| 16:00 | Wrapping up | Summary of the day |
Day 2: 20th March 2018
| Time | Activity Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 09:15 | Lecture | Welcome and presentation of the day |
| 09:30 | Lecture | Introduction to HPC (basic concepts, submitting a job) from STFC Hartree Centre |
| 10:30 | Tutorial | Access to Hartree HPC, Exercises on HPC |
| 11:50 | Lunch Break | Food, food, food, and relax... |
| 13:00 | Lecture | Introduction to Advanced Monte Carlo methods (Importance sampling, Line Sampling, Subset) |
| 13:30 | Tutorial | Tutorial advanced Monte Carlo methods |
| 14:30 | Break | Coffee and Tea |
| 15:00 | Lecture | Sensitivity Analysis |
| 15:15 | Tutorial | Infection Model and Cantilever Beam |
| 16:00 | Wrapping up and summary of the day |
Day 3: 21st March 2018
| Time | Activity Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 09:15 | Welcome | Presentation of the day |
| 09:30 | Lecture | Connect COSSAN-X with 3rd party solvers |
| 10:00 | Tutorial | Connect COSSAN-X with third party solver (Ishigami function) |
| 11:15 | Lecture | Optimisation (Gradient based and gradient free approaches, stochastic optimisation) |
| 11:50 | Lunch | Another lunch break |
| 13:00 | Tutorial | Optimization of a simple Cantilever Beam |
| 14:00 | Demo | Advanced tools (Meta-models, Robust and Reliability based optimisation) |
| 14:45 | Break | your last coffee... (or tea) |
| 15:00 | Demo | OpenCossan 2.0 |
| 15:45 | Wrapping up | Summary of the day |